Friday, October 23, 2015

ENERGY SERVICE INDUSTRY AND IT’S AND CHALLENGES IN MALAYSIAN MARKET

The energy efficiency market is growing in stature and maturity, but it is developing more rapidly than the ability to properly evaluate and understand it. A particular priority is to improve our capability to measure the size, nature and impact of energy efficiency markets and the outcomes from investments made in them.

Energy Service Companies (ESCOs) have started making their presence Malaysia toward the end of 90s and they were mainly involved in promoting technologies on how to save energy costs. Most of them merely were technologies suppliers and using energy saving features of their products as additional marketing strategy to convince the market. Most of these technologies often brought by foreign promoters or companies who worked with their local partners to penetrate the domestic markets.

Then slowly energy service businesses expand into consultancy and training services where among the main objective was to educate the market on energy efficiency in bigger perspective other than just energy efficient technologies. This was done through collaboration and jointly-organized programs such as seminars and conferences between technologies and services providers with government agencies and government linked companies such as the department of electricity and gas supply(now known as Energy Commission), Malaysia Energy Centre(now Malaysia Green Technology  Corporation, Malaysia Timber Industry Board, SIRIM and Tenaga Nasional Bhd.

In the same time, there were internal organizations related to energy efficiency such as from Japan and Denmark which offered some assistance technically and financially to Malaysian government for activities such as technical assessment to identify energy efficiency potentials in various sectors, market and policy studies and also training programs for local government and private personnel.

Energy service industry development has been identified as one of the key component s under the United Nation Development Progarm-Global Environment Faclity(UNDP-GEF) and Malaysian Government Funded project named Malaysia Energy Efficiency Industrial Improvement Project (MIEEIP) from year 2000 until 2005. This has led to the formation of Malaysia Association of Energy Service Companies (MAESCO) in 2001. However, the growth of energy service industry to be further explored by ESCOs  has not been fast as initially expected despite very promising findings from the MIEEP implementation. The project has identified how much businesses and investment potentials with very attractive returns available in industrial and also building sectors from hundreds of energy audits carried out.

MAESCO has been proactively involved with key stakeholders to create awareness about potentials of energy service industry since its formation in 2001.

The table below summarizes the potentials saving, investment required and returns expected based on types or energy intensive industry.

Industry Type
Potential energy  saving (GJ/year)
Energy Consumption (GJ/year)
% of energy saving potential
Investment Cost(RM)
Potential cost saving per year
(RM'000)
% of cost saving from energy bill per year
Payback period (Year)
FOOD
272,354
1,418,625
19.2
2,299
4,382
13.7
0.5
WOOD
457,494
874,200
52.3
9,904
4,822
38.9
2.1
CERAMIC
212,974
774,061
27.5
5,760
5,992
24.8
1
CEMENT
4,887,239
14,956,563
32.7
39,456
33,752
16.5
1.2
GLASS
81,660
4,000,370
2
3,586
2,120
2.1
1.7
RUBBER
97,215
460,913
21.1
5,079
3,063
22.6
1.7
PULP & PAPER
811,547
5,080,208
16
29,883
18,174
21.3
1.6
IRON & STEEL
270,053
4,215,761
6.4
4,443
5,247
3.4
0.8
Source: Malaysia Energy Centre, 2005

With the several tariff increases occurred from the time of the project implemented, returns from the investments should have been bigger and faster to be achieved if companies selected have implemented all energy saving measures recommended to them.
For energy audits performed by Malaysia Energy Centre at the buildings sector, they identified energy efficiency potentials of 40% to 50% reduction of energy consumption of new buildings, 15% to 25% in reduction in energy consumption of existing buildings and also the possibility of shifting some electricity demand for some building operations from day to night by improving its load factor.

The MIEEP and many other studies have shown that there are undoubtedly huge potentials of investments and business opportunities in implementing energy efficiency measures in industrial and building sectors.

To do that ESCOs are supposed to play very significant roles to ensure the successful energy efficiency implementation in both sectors. Support for setting up ESCOs and industry groups has been undertaken in emerging countries by international agencies. The GEF program in China to support start-up ESCO is representative and the role of GEF and the World Bank in development of China’s ESCO industry was extremely comprehensive and also effective. In India, the US Agency for International Development (USAID) provided support through a program of information transfer to ESCOs, and through a special program with the support for foundation of an ESCO association. Also, in Malaysia and the Philippines, ESCO associations were set up with support from governments initially and they are expected to grow further with the growth in energy efficiency industry in their respective country.

While in Japan, until now Energy Conservation Center of Japan(ECCJ) and Japan Association of Energy Service Companies(JAESCO) have carried out activities as the core of the ESCO movement. Then, the ECCJ functions are being integrated into JAESCO, to complete the functions of an ESCO association.

The establishment of MAESCO for meeting the demand for energy service market in Malaysia in 2001 has clearly intended for the same intention like those countries. The key objectives outlined its constitution as follows:

  • To develop recognized ESCO businesses in collaboration with Government and private sectors.
  • To actively promote the activity of cost reduction and efficiency standards of the industrial and commercial sector
  • To oversee the well-being of its members and to facilitate and do all things necessary towards developing successful energy related projects.
  • To introduce related products and services for the industry
  • To foster healthy co-existence amongst members through ethical professional practices and ensuring  the prestige of services delivered  by its members

At present MAESCO has about over sixty members with almost half of them are stated in the list in the official website with the capability to perform EPC projects.


However, the growth of ESCOs in Malaysia has been hampered by several factors that are still unresolved despite some progress made by some ESCOs in local and regional markets.

One of the key issues is how the energy service itself defined and understood among by the market. At present, most ESCOs are still being seen to push for energy efficient products and technologies as solutions to reduce energy costs. The whole spectrum of works in energy service before reaching the energy saving solutions, requirements to implement energy saving measures and measurement and verification of the actual saving achieved have not been made aware and highlighted to the potential markets.


Other main barriers that are still faced by ESCOs in Malaysia are as follows:
i)               Immaturity of the energy efficiency market
In general, the costs of project development are relatively high and most small ESCOs find it difficult to finance project development costs. On top of that there are limited experience with successful ESCO projects and ESCOs have not yet developed good credibility with intensive energy users, policy makers and financial institutions.

ii)              Lack opportunities that suit ESCO’s  business model
The typical approaches in the implementation of energy efficiency projects in Malaysia is based in budget allocated or approved by the organization in their annual budget planning.

The unique feature of EPC business model where they can source the fund from the third party such as ESCO to implement energy saving measures that require bigger budget are not something common and easily accepted conceptually especially within the government agencies and locally owned companies.

The idea of involving the external parties to save energy costs by doing almost everything to get the results is not well accepted yet the local market until today. In the same time, most purchasing made for energy related technologies and products still looking at the purchase price as the main evaluation criteria.

There are some efforts by government entities to opt for EPC approach to implement energy saving measures but some conditions that they imposed do not match with the EPC business model. For example, the duration of EPC contract period and percentages of energy cost saving to be shared have been predetermined by the owner and qualified ESCOs have been asked to agree with the predetermined requirements before the investment grade energy audit carried out. As a results, no or very limited ESCOs were interested to participate and finally no progress made at all.



On-going engagements with fellow industry players and other key agencies in the government  have been always the most effective way in shaping the way forward for energy service industry.


iii)          Limited understanding of decision makers among public and private sectors on the true values of engaging ESCOs in their energy efficiency programs.
For example they are more prefer to adopt the conventional model of sourcing energy service using their normal procurement process where the upfront costs or the purchase price of energy efficiency solutions is their main consideration in decision making. Other than that, EPC model is the least preferred option to implement big scale energy efficiency projects although it often seen that internal budgets are limited with many other priorities.
In some cases, when they embarked on EPC approach, some unreasonable conditions imposed to ESCOs where finally the projects become not feasible for ESCOs to invest and making reasonable profits for their business.
In some government entities, instead of looking at EPC model as an option to implement energy efficiency projects  to get faster results with risks taken by the third parties such as ESCOs, they started to behave like as normal business entities where the  maximum profits has suddenly become their top priority.


iv)         Lack of financing from the financial institutions for loans, special funds, grants and etc.
Banks and other funding agencies in Malaysia are still not fully aware and understand the concepts and risks factors in business models for ESCO.

To financial institutions in Malaysia, the financing for energy efficiency projects is still considered “high risk” and they are using the same guidelines for all industries and sectors. Although the risk management and credit enhancement is critical, it has been proven that default rates for efficiency programs have been low in many countries such as Thailand and USA.

The failure of some MAESCO members and other ESCOs to source funds from local institutions is one of the most important factors that put a stop to the implementation big scale energy efficiency projects. They are often compared against the typical business entities with conventional projects approach when applying for funding for EPC projects.

Factors that involved financing that have contributed to less funding given for projects by ESCOs could summarized as follows:
·   Most independent ESCOs have a small capital base and often have difficulties accessing project funding from commercial financial institutions.
·     Financing for ESCO projects is also not commonly accepted by financial institutions where ESCO business model is new to them.
·  Investment by ESCOs are smaller compare to other investments where energy efficiency projects are generally small relative to other investment projects being considered by the financial institutions.
·    Lack of expertise among financial institution where their personnel typically has limited knowledge and understanding of energy efficiency projects and the EPC concept. They perceive EE projects (incorrectly) as inherently more risky than other investments.

v)          Lack of clear policy and mechanisms to implement big scale energy efficiency projects
The unavailability of a common and clear policy with targets to be achieved at the national level for energy efficiency is another big barrier for ESCOs to grow. Both public and private sectors do not know on how much should be their contribution to achieve the national efficiency targets because simply there is no targets have been set yet.
Energy efficiency initiatives with capital expenditures often implemented on project to project basis based on existing conventional purchasing mechanisms and procedures.

The foundation of these procedures is based on expenditure by the owner of the facilities and when the budget is not secured, projects implementation will have to wait for another budget to be approved or sourced.

Some progress has been made and one of that is by creating a special registration code for ESCOs to register at the Ministry of Finance to allow EPC business model to be adopted from 2012.However, until today, they mechanism and procedure on how government entities to pay ESCOs their share from the energy cost saving achieved has not been established yet. This has resulted in no EPC project has been implemented in any government agencies yet.

MAESCO has a very good relationship with the current leadership of key agencies such as KeTTHA, Energy Commission and MIGHT with some collaborations to promote investments in energy efficiency industry.

All the above factors have left ESCOs with limited opportunities to tap bigger investment potentials of energy efficiency project and therefore they have to compete among the conventional technology providers and product suppliers to secure clients. As a support services providers in energy efficiency industry, ESCOs would not be able to grow further in this type of competition. This is because the ESCO’s business model such as EPC is meant to get faster results, long term benefits and more risks taken by ESCOs for their solutions while the conventional business approach is mainly based on the most competitive or cheapest price to secure clients.

To develop the healthy and competitive market for ESCOs, several key measures have been identified from studies and experiences of local ESCOs and from other countries as counter measures to the above barriers. It is important to establish or strengthen energy efficiency related policies at the national and organizational levels, reform procurement systems, develop financial mechanisms and obtain business friendly intensive investments by government or private and international organizations with strong involvement of ESCOs in giving inputs as industry players through the association, MAESCO.

More need to be done and they need to be done faster to avoid more potential loss in economic for Malaysia in private investments and business opportunities to spur our economic growth especially for us to rise in this challenging and tough climate.

Energy service has been proven elsewhere as a good and promising investment and business potentials. In sha Allah, in the next post, I will share on what are exactly need to be done by all stakeholders in energy efficiency industry as counter measures to the above barriers.

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

INVESTMENT POTENTIALS FROM ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROJECTS IMPLEMENTATION

During my time while serving in the government and now as an industry player myself, often question raised by many towards me. Can we really make money from energy efficiency and how good is the returns comparing to investing in conventional businesses?
Now, let us look at energy efficiency opportunities as reported by international energy related agencies, countries and until we reach to how much the potentials that has been identified in Malaysia. Then we can decide on how do we look at energy efficiency to make money out of it and how much its potential for businesses as an industry.

Energy efficiency markets deliver goods and services that reduce the energy required to fuel our economies. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that investment in key energy efficiency markets worldwide with the total up to USD 300 billion in 2011. This estimation is very conservative based on an assessment of direct and leveraged investment in identifiable energy efficiency initiatives by the public sector, multilateral finance institutions and major private institutions.'

In the  United States of America(USA), ESCO industry reported annual revenues of USD5.3 billion in 2011 with revenues expected to grow to  about USD6.4 billion by the end of 2013 (Stuart et al. 2013). Stuart et al. (2013) also estimated a remaining market potential of USD77 billion to USD133 billion in facilities commonly serviced by ESCOs. Given this context, state policy makers in USA could consider implementing or expanding various types of policies and initiatives that support demand-side energy efficiency, such as energy efficiency resource standards, energy service performance contracting for specified market segments, building energy codes, retrofitting projects for government buildings, and financing, among others. 

The estimation of incremental annual electricity savings and savings in the report is from projects active in a given year developed and implemented by ESCOs in USA. Estimating these savings levels is a foundational step in order to determine total avoided Green House Gases (GHGs) from energy efficiency measures installed by ESCOs.'

In 1 July 2015 The American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) released a new report finding energy efficiency in the USA has come a long way in the last 35 years, slashing in half the “energy intensity” metric that compares energy consumed to the gross domestic product. The report indicated that the USA has cut the amount of energy it uses, compared to each dollar of gross domestic product, from 12.1 thousand Btus per dollar in 1980 to 6.1 thousand Btus per dollar in 2014. In 2014 year, the same study found, efficiency measures saved the United States USD800 billion. Most of the improvements over the last 35 years came from advances in energy efficiency itself, ACEEE concluded, and not changes in the broader economy.

In Germany, the government development bank Kiwi has provided USD 12.7 billion in loans for energy efficiency investments in the residential buildings sector in 2012, and it estimates that this stimulated USD 35 billion in home efficiency refurbishments.

In New Zealand, its home insulation program has invested USD 243 million over the last four years, evaluated as delivering benefits five times the value of this investment.

French public spending on energy efficiency in the residential sector stood at USD 473 million in 2011, and total spending associated with its “white certificate” scheme could trigger private spending 20 times this figure based on previous years’ performance.

In Mexico, the Green Mortgage Program mobilized nearly USD 1 billion in public subsidies and nearly USD 500 million in additional lending by mortgage providers to over three million householders between 2009 and 2012.'

From the above information and facts from each country, it is very obvious that energy efficiency has been planned and implemented in short, medium and long term with huge amount of monetary investment involved. It also signaled the confidence on good returns expected from their investments.

Business Potentials for Energy Service Companies (ESCOs)

ESCO industry has been relatively unknown in Malaysia due to various barriers that I will discuss further in the Part Two of this article in the next issue. However in some countries and other regions, ESCO industry has been estimated having a rapidly growing size of industry volumes as summarized in the table below.  
China has overtaken the US as the leading country in ESCO industry which valued between USD4 billion and USD7 billion.

Country
Estimated ESCO Industry Size(USD million)
Source
China
4,000-7,000
Cahill and Bertoldi (2013)
United States
~5,300
Stuart et al.(2013)
Germany
~3,900-5,200
Cahill and Bertoldi (2013)
France
~4,000-5,000
Marino et al.(2010)
United Kingdom
~320
Cahill and Bertoldi (2013)

In the United States, for example, levels of spending on ratepayer-funded efficiency program have grown from USD 1 billion in 2000 to USD 7 billion in 2011, an average annual growth rate of 20%.

For the Federal, State, and local governments in the USA, they have  invested over USD21 billion in Energy Performance Contracting(EPC) to implement energy efficiency projects since 1997.The Federal Government’s 2009 economic stimulus package included an additional USD3.1 billion for efficiency in existing federal government buildings. The Federal and State governments have also passed specific laws to facilitate EPC and accept up to 15-20 year payback periods to encourage more investments from ESCOs.

Research in the USA indicated that EPCs have delivered general benefit to cost ratios of 1.6 to 1, with higher 2.1 to 1 ratios for EPCs in health facilities.

In Australia, the Strategic Energy Efficiency Policy for Queensland Government Buildings has established the target to reduce their energy consumption by 5 % below 2005-06 levels by 2010, and 20 % by 2015. Some key features have been shared with the Victorian program where the use of EPC and facilitation by a single department, the Department of Public Works. The Department of Public Works has so far invested over 20 million dollars in improving the energy efficiency of 25 of the sites that it owns, and has reduced its energy use in those buildings by 18 megawatt hours per year.

In Korea, the annual turnover for Korean ESCOs has reached USD330 million in 2011, an increase of 63% compared to 2010. ESCO activity in Korea has managed avoided the consumption of energy equal to 1.3 Mtoe in 2011. At present ESCOs have been active in close to 50 countries globally.

Past and present efforts have been mainly on project basis which often ended with the end of each project’s duration. This has resulted in no clear impacts in energy performance improvements, economic benefits from investments made by private sectors and capital spent on periodical budgets spent by the government.'

ESCOs in Asia based on a study by Jyukankyo Research Institute of Japan in 2009 reported the Asian countries in which ESCO business development is proceeding and markets have formed to some degree, are only Japan, China, India, and Thailand. In other countries, such as Malaysia and the Philippines, there is great interest in ESCO business, and governments are currently taking measures to introduce ESCO projects, but markets have not yet been developed.

Based on the report presented and sourced from www.reexasia.com in 2011, Malaysia has the highest potential in energy efficiency in ASEAN which valued at USD907 million and USD530 million for building and industrial sector respectively  as illustrated in charts below.







The ranking according to the highest to the lowest for energy efficiency market in South-East Asia based on four criteria which are investment potential, payback period, regulatory support and ESCO development is summarized in the table below.

Criteria
Ranking
Investment Potentials
  1.  Malaysia
  2. Indonesia
  3. Thailand
  4. Singapore
  5. Vietnam
  6. Philippines

Payback Period
  1. Singapore
  2. Philippines
  3. Vietnam
  4. Malaysia, Thailand Indonesia

Regulatory Support
  1. Singapore, Thailand
  2. Malaysia, Philippines
  3. Indonesia, Vietnam

ESCO Development
  1. Thailand
  2.  Singapore
  3.  Malaysia, Philippines
  4. Indonesia, Vietnam


For investment potentials, Malaysia is ranked number one but ranked at number four in payback period. This is mainly due to Malaysia’s lower electricity tariff which is heavily subsidized by the government. Malaysia is also lagged behind Singapore and Thailand at number two due to unavailability of comprehensive regulatory support.

With the lack of direction at the national level on holistic energy efficiency implementation, ESCO development in Malaysia has been affected as well where it ranked at number three behind Thailand and Singapore at number one and number two respectively.

The conclusion and the way forward
Prospects for energy efficiency around the world as reported by IEA are enormous where energy efficiency markets are expected to grow in all the regions and principally driven by energy price and policy. Much of that growth is anticipated to come from private investments enabled and encouraged by the government policy rather than direct public investment. Energy efficiency has a great potential and therefore many developed and developing countries have made energy efficiency as a strategic national level initiatives in its implementation. Here are some examples for selected countries around the world:-
  1. The new Canadian National Energy Code is expected to save USD 350 million in 2020;
  2. The French government is considering a nearly threefold increase in the target for the Certificats d’économie d’énergie obligation scheme to 600 TWh, stimulating energy efficiency investments in the building and transport sectors;
  3. Germany’s 2010 Energy Concept could avoid USD 42 billion in energy costs in 2020. A 2% renovation rate requirement for buildings will deliver more and deeper energy-efficient retrofits, and provides certainty for market investors;
  4. The market for fuel-efficient vehicles is accelerating rapidly in South Korea, with a requirement that suppliers shift from 30% to 100% compliance with a fuel efficiency standard of 17 kilometres per litre of fuel by 2015;
  5. Standards entering into force for a range of appliances in the USA will lead to over 80 TWh of annual electricity savings by 2020. The ESCO industry and low-income weatherization industry will face challenges as federal recovery funding ends, but ESCO revenues are nonetheless projected to double to USD 13 billion by 2020;
  6. From 2014, energy suppliers in EU member states will be required to achieve annual energy savings equivalent to 1.5% of their energy sales volume through to 2020. This is expected to lead to expanded energy efficiency investment across the EU;
  7. China’s 12th Five-Year Plan envisages a 17% improvement in energy intensity, continuing the trend towards meeting the world average;
  8. The UK government has developed polices to stimulate energy efficiency investments by households and businesses, which are expected to save 14.4 Mtoe of final energy consumption annually by 2020. The capital cost of the technical potential for energy efficiency in the residential buildings is estimated at USD 90 billion, of which USD 3.5 billion are low-cost measures; and
  9. The Japanese Top Runner program, expected to deliver over USD 3 billion in consumer benefits through efficiency targets for lighting, vehicles and appliances, will broaden its scope to cover three-phase induction motors, LEDs, heat pumps and printers in 2015

The Efficient World Scenario of the IEA World Energy Outlook 2012 estimates that by implementing cost-effective energy efficiency measures and removing market barriers, total primary energy supply could be reduced by an additional 900 Mtoe in 2020 beyond those reductions generated from current and announced policy interventions. 

This additional 900 Mtoe in avoided energy is equivalent to 7% of 2010 global consumption, greater than the combined energy supply of Australia, Japan, Korea and New Zealand today, and would produce a corresponding reduction of USD 458 billion in consumer energy expenditure.

The energy efficiency market is growing in stature and maturity, but it is developing more rapidly than the ability to properly evaluate and understand it. A particular priority is to improve our capability to measure the size, nature and impact of energy efficiency markets and the outcomes from investments made in them.

Policy makers should consider expanding the use of effective strategies including energy efficiency resource standards, EPCs for targeted market segments, retrofit and etc. Given the large remaining market potential for the ESCO industry worldwide and recent project savings levels achieved as clearly recorded, there are significant untapped opportunities for the industry to develop new projects which substantially reduce future GHG emissions.

So, to answer the earlier question whether or not energy efficiency has business potentials that can make money like any other conventional industry, the answer is definitely yes and supported with the development at regions and countries and with facts and figures studied and identified. 

Based on my personal experiences through our investments using EPC business model for multi-national companies in Malaysia and some ASEAN countries, the returns from investments in energy efficiency projects is very good too with billions of monetary investments have been made globally by countries mentioned here.


Malaysia has to tap these ready-to-be-implemented opportunities for the country to be truly benefited from energy efficiency economically, socially and for its future environmental protection or facing the risks of opportunities lost to others in reaping its benefits as soon as possible in more holistic and sustainable manners.


Notes:
Sourced and compiled from various online reports.